Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.000030 0.000034 0.000038 0.000043 0.000049 0.000055 0.000062
2024-10-06 0.000024 0.000029 0.000036 0.000043 0.000053 0.000064 0.000077
2024-10-13 0.000020 0.000027 0.000035 0.000045 0.000058 0.000073 0.000093
2024-10-20 0.000017 0.000023 0.000032 0.000043 0.000059 0.000078 0.000103
2024-10-27 0.000015 0.000022 0.000031 0.000044 0.000062 0.000084 0.000116
2024-11-03 0.000013 0.000020 0.000029 0.000043 0.000063 0.000089 0.000127
2024-11-10 0.000012 0.000019 0.000029 0.000044 0.000066 0.000097 0.000141
2024-11-17 0.000011 0.000018 0.000029 0.000045 0.000070 0.000104 0.000155
2024-11-24 0.000010 0.000017 0.000028 0.000046 0.000073 0.000111 0.000170
2024-12-01 0.000009 0.000016 0.000027 0.000045 0.000073 0.000115 0.000180
2024-12-08 0.000008 0.000015 0.000026 0.000044 0.000074 0.000119 0.000189
2024-12-15 0.000007 0.000014 0.000025 0.000045 0.000076 0.000125 0.000203
2024-12-22 0.000007 0.000014 0.000026 0.000046 0.000080 0.000134 0.000222
2024-12-29 0.000007 0.000013 0.000025 0.000047 0.000083 0.000141 0.000237
2025-01-05 0.000006 0.000013 0.000025 0.000048 0.000087 0.000150 0.000257
2025-01-12 0.000006 0.000012 0.000024 0.000047 0.000087 0.000152 0.000266
2025-01-19 0.000005 0.000012 0.000024 0.000047 0.000089 0.000160 0.000283
2025-01-26 0.000005 0.000011 0.000023 0.000047 0.000090 0.000163 0.000294
2025-02-02 0.000005 0.000011 0.000023 0.000048 0.000094 0.000173 0.000315
2025-02-09 0.000004 0.000010 0.000023 0.000048 0.000097 0.000181 0.000335
2025-02-16 0.000004 0.000010 0.000023 0.000049 0.000100 0.000190 0.000356
2025-02-23 0.000004 0.000010 0.000022 0.000048 0.000100 0.000193 0.000367
2025-03-02 0.000003 0.000009 0.000021 0.000048 0.000101 0.000197 0.000379